Executive summary
An evidence pack for aerospace and defense delivery investments: every claimed benefit becomes a graded assumption with a source, a range, and a research plan for what is not yet known.
What is inside
What the research pack covers
The asset takes the candidate interventions that emerged from the baseline diagnostic and walks a program organization through building the assumption book: listing every claim the business case rests on, classifying each as observation or hypothesis, grading its evidence, finding the handful that drive the economics, and commissioning targeted research before the options appraisal spends real money.
- Scope: one assumption book covering demand, cost, benefit, alternative and uncertainty claims behind delivery interventions
- Separating observations from hypotheses across six assumption domains
- Confidence grading and an evidence gate that must be passed before options appraisal
- A sensitivity screen that identifies the assumptions the investment case actually turns on
- A costed research plan for high-impact, low-confidence assumptions
- Source log discipline for schedules, change requests and supplier milestone data
- A worked synthetic example from a tier-one supplier, plus a failure case